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ALDS Preview: Athletics vs Astros

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c7&period;547&comma;0&comma;11&period;675-6&period;252&comma;11&period;675-11&period;675c0-0&period;178-0&period;004-0&period;355-0&period;012-0&period;531C20&period;985&comma;7&period;47&comma;21&period;68&comma;6&period;747&comma;22&period;23&comma;5&period;924z"><&sol;path><&sol;svg><span class&equals;"wp-block-social-link-label screen-reader-text">Twitter<&sol;span><&sol;a><&sol;li>&NewLine;&NewLine;<li class&equals;"wp-social-link wp-social-link-youtube wp-block-social-link"><a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;www&period;youtube&period;com&sol;channel&sol;UCpO0Mz-8tnHNKqQk8oJSDcg&quest;view&lowbar;as&equals;subscriber" class&equals;"wp-block-social-link-anchor"><svg width&equals;"24" height&equals;"24" viewBox&equals;"0 0 24 24" version&equals;"1&period;1" xmlns&equals;"http&colon;&sol;&sol;www&period;w3&period;org&sol;2000&sol;svg" aria-hidden&equals;"true" focusable&equals;"false"><path 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s4&period;203-0&period;006&comma;7&period;001-0&period;209c0&period;391-0&period;047&comma;1&period;243-0&period;051&comma;2&period;004-0&period;847c0&period;6-0&period;607&comma;0&period;795-1&period;985&comma;0&period;795-1&period;985s0&period;2-1&period;618&comma;0&period;2-3&period;237v-1&period;517 C22&comma;9&period;62&comma;21&period;8&comma;8&period;001&comma;21&period;8&comma;8&period;001z M9&period;935&comma;14&period;594l-0&period;001-5&period;62l5&period;404&comma;2&period;82L9&period;935&comma;14&period;594z"><&sol;path><&sol;svg><span class&equals;"wp-block-social-link-label screen-reader-text">YouTube<&sol;span><&sol;a><&sol;li><&sol;ul>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"has-text-align-center"><strong>Written by&colon; John Storey<br>Follow him on Twitter&colon;<a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;twitter&period;com&sol;JohnStorey&lowbar;&quest;s&equals;20"> <span class&equals;"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color">&commat;JohnStorey&lowbar;<&sol;span><&sol;a><br>Follow Prospects Worldwide on Twitter&colon; <a rel&equals;"noreferrer noopener" href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;twitter&period;com&sol;ProspectsWorldW" target&equals;"&lowbar;blank"><span class&equals;"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color">&commat;ProspectsWorldW<&sol;span><&sol;a><&sol;strong><&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<hr class&equals;"wp-block-separator has-text-color has-background has-black-background-color has-black-color is-style-wide"&sol;>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"has-text-align-center has-large-font-size has-custom-weight has-custom-letterspacing" style&equals;"letter-spacing&colon;1px&semi;font-weight&colon;bold&semi;font-size&colon;20px"><img class&equals;"wp-image-6366" style&equals;"width&colon; 80px&semi;" src&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;prospectsworldwide&period;com&sol;wp-content&sol;uploads&sol;2020&sol;08&sol;oakland&lowbar;athletics&period;png" alt&equals;""> <strong><span class&equals;"has-inline-color has-black-color">Oakland Athletics<&sol;span> vs Houston Astros<&sol;strong> <img class&equals;"wp-image-10083" style&equals;"width&colon; 80px&semi;" src&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;prospectsworldwide&period;com&sol;wp-content&sol;uploads&sol;2020&sol;09&sol;1200px-houston-astros-logo&period;svg&lowbar;&period;png" alt&equals;""><&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p style&equals;"font-size&colon;30px"><strong><span class&equals;"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color">Things to Know&colon;<&sol;span><&sol;strong><&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"has-medium-font-size">&&num;8211&semi; Neither team will be playing in their home parks&period; Moving forward all remaining games will be played at a neutral site&period; The Astros and Athletics will play at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles&period;<br>&&num;8211&semi; Series is set to begin this Monday&comma; October 5th&period; The Astros swept the Twins&comma; permitting them a four-day layoff&period; Oakland took Chicago to three games and will have just three days off&period; In both cases&comma; teams will have plenty of time to align their pitching staff however they please&period; The unusually lengthy layoff may also contribute be a burden to the teams&&num;8217&semi; routines&period;<br>&&num;8211&semi; Until the World Series&comma; matchups will be played only with days off in-between series &lpar;not games&rpar;&period; Thus&comma; there will be extra pressure on each team&&num;8217&semi;s pitching depth and ability to manage that depth creatively&period;<br>&&num;8211&semi; These two teams have had a unique relationship this season&colon;<br>&&num;8211&semi; They played ten games seven of which went Oakland&&num;8217&semi;s way including two walk-off wins&period;<br>&&num;8211&semi; Eight of those ten games were played in Oakland at the Coliseum &&num;8211&semi; one of baseball&&num;8217&semi;s most notoriously &lpar;and statistically&rpar; pitcher-friendly parks&period;<br>&&num;8211&semi; Included in those wins were three that made up a nine-game win streak for the A&&num;8217&semi;s &lpar;15&percnt; of the season&rpar;&period;<br>&&num;8211&semi; The Astros won three of the four games played in two doubleheaders&period;<br>&&num;8211&semi; Regular season games between Oakland and Houston lasted an average of 2 hours and 45 minutes&period; That&&num;8217&semi;s 8 minutes shorter than the A&&num;8217&semi;s and 23 minutes shorter than the Astros average game length this season&period;<br>&&num;8211&semi; These two teams were the best in the American League West&comma; however&comma; Oakland&&num;8217&semi;s spot as the top team in the division was never in question&period; The A&&num;8217&semi;s average championship leverage index &lpar;in essence the importance of each game where the average is 1&period;0&rpar; was 0&period;5789 versus Houston&&num;8217&semi;s 1&period;0425&period; When playing Oakland the leverage of Houston&&num;8217&semi;s games increased by 17&period;8&percnt;&period; Oakland&&num;8217&semi;s leverage remained virtually unchanged against Houston&period;<br>&&num;8211&semi; These two teams have a ton going on between them&period; Mike Fiers is an A&period; After testifying to the Astros scandalous activity&comma; he&&num;8217&semi;s considered a snitch by some and could have a target on his back&period; Moreover&comma; just this August these teams had a run-in after the Astros hit Ramon Laureano multiple times &lpar;three times in a single series&rpar; and proceeded to become physically and verbally engaged with Astros hitting coach Alex Cintron&period; The event resulted in suspensions and is likely not yet completely resolved&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<figure class&equals;"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio"><div class&equals;"wp-block-embed&lowbar;&lowbar;wrapper">&NewLine;<amp-youtube layout&equals;"responsive" width&equals;"640" height&equals;"360" data-videoid&equals;"l2NhptOahQg" title&equals;"Ramón Laureano charges the Astros dugout&comma; a breakdown"><a placeholder href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;www&period;youtube&period;com&sol;watch&quest;v&equals;l2NhptOahQg"><img src&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;i&period;ytimg&period;com&sol;vi&sol;l2NhptOahQg&sol;hqdefault&period;jpg" layout&equals;"fill" object-fit&equals;"cover" alt&equals;"Ramón Laureano charges the Astros dugout&comma; a breakdown"><&sol;a><&sol;amp-youtube>&NewLine;<&sol;div><&sol;figure>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"has-text-align-center has-huge-font-size" style&equals;"font-size&colon;35px"><strong><span class&equals;"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color">Expected Starting Pitching Matchups&colon;<&sol;span><&sol;strong><&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"has-medium-font-size">To this point&comma; both teams have only officially announced their starters through the second game of the series&period; So&comma; anything beyond that is speculation&period; In-game one Chris Bassitt for the A&&num;8217&semi;s is no surprise&period; He has&comma; with little question been Oakland&&num;8217&semi;s best starter&period; After throwing 63 innings across 11 starts&comma; the righty posted a 2&period;29 ERA&comma; 3&period;59 FIP&comma; 7&period;9 K&sol;9 and 1&period;159 WHIP&period; A career year to be sure&period; He pitched against Houston three times totaling 17 innings&comma; giving up 16 hits&comma; six walks and striking out nine&period; In-game two lefty Sean Manaea will take the hill&period; It&&num;8217&semi;ll be his first day of work since September 23 when he pitched against the Dodgers&period; Accepting a small sample size&comma; he&&num;8217&semi;s been strong on extra days rest across his career&period; Sean made one start against the Astros this year pitching seven innings allowing one run and two hits&period; And he only needed 61 pitches to do it&period;<&sol;p><div class&equals;"RUOmAeN7" style&equals;"clear&colon;both&semi;float&colon;left&semi;width&colon;100&percnt;&semi;margin&colon;0 0 20px 0&semi;"><script async src&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;pagead2&period;googlesyndication&period;com&sol;pagead&sol;js&sol;adsbygoogle&period;js"><&sol;script> &NewLine;<&excl;-- Display Ad --> &NewLine;<ins class&equals;"adsbygoogle" &NewLine; style&equals;"display&colon;block" &NewLine; data-ad-client&equals;"ca-pub-7814068302911952" &NewLine; data-ad-slot&equals;"1407500180" &NewLine; data-ad-format&equals;"auto" &NewLine; data-full-width-responsive&equals;"true"><&sol;ins> &NewLine;<script> &NewLine; &lpar;adsbygoogle &equals; window&period;adsbygoogle &vert;&vert; &lbrack;&rsqb;&rpar;&period;push&lpar;&lbrace;&rcub;&rpar;&semi; &NewLine;<&sol;script><&sol;div>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"has-medium-font-size"><br>Perhaps the biggest surprise to come from either team was the Astros electing not to pitch Zack Greinke in either of the first two games of the series&period; We still don&&num;8217&semi;t know for sure that he&&num;8217&semi;ll pitch game three&comma; but that&&num;8217&semi;s a safe bet&period; This is the type of strategy MLB created after deciding not to give teams any off days amid series&period; Greinke could either pitch to keep Houston alive or send them to the League Championship&period; The tradition of pitching your ace in-game one not only sets the tone for the series &lpar;winning game one is statistically important to winning the series&rpar; but it also allows a team to start them in-game five&period; Without that luxury&comma; there&&num;8217&semi;s much less incentive to pitch your &num;1 in-game one&period; That&&num;8217&semi;s what the Astros are doing here&comma; instead choosing to trot out Lance McCullers Jr&period; Credit where credit is due&comma; McCullers has clawed himself back from a year off after having Tommy John surgery&period; He hasn&&num;8217&semi;t missed a beat pitching 55 innings with an ERA&plus; of 115&period; It appears he&&num;8217&semi;s regained his elite form from four and five years ago after adding to his arsenal&period; An ace on many teams&comma; McCullers pitched against Oakland in August&period; He threw six strong innings allowing a lone run whilst striking out 7 seven&period; In-game two&comma; Dusty Baker will hand the ball to Framber Valdez&period; Valdez has been one of the young players helping to shape the future in Houston&period; This year&comma; his third&comma; he threw 70&period;2 very effective innings&period; His 9&period;7 strikeout rate indicated he may have been even better than his ERA &lpar;3&period;57&rpar; indicates&period; Valdez also made a major developmental stride this year after reducing his walks per nine to 2&period;0&comma; more than half what&&num;8217&semi;s he&&num;8217&semi;s posted in years previous&period; He too pitched against the Athletics this year&comma; going seven innings and striking out nine&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"has-medium-font-size"><br>Beyond that&quest; That&&num;8217&semi;s where things get interesting&period; As previously discussed&comma; the new format of these playoff series adds a new layer of strategy&period; Assuming Greinke goes in-game three &lpar;any further and the Astros risk not using him at all&rpar; Houston is left with Jose Urquidy and Cristian Javier&period; It shouldn&&num;8217&semi;t really matter who pitches when&period; Especially when the series hasn&&num;8217&semi;t yet begun&period; Neither pitched great against the A&&num;8217&semi;s this year&period; Javier threw eight innings in two starts allowing seven runs&period; Urquidy allowed two runs in a six innings start&comma; only striking out one&period; If you&&num;8217&semi;re the Astros&comma; you hope it doesn&&num;8217&semi;t come to that &&num;8211&semi; you&&num;8217&semi;d probably rather use them as relievers anyway&period; But if it does&comma; Javier may be the best choice&period; He&&num;8217&semi;s allowed much less productive contact and posted a much higher strikeout &lpar;than Urquidy&rpar; this year&period; Alternatively&comma; Urquidy has pitched deeper into games and doesn&&num;8217&semi;t have the two rough starts against Oakland on his record&period; Either is a reasonable option&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"has-medium-font-size"><br>For Oakland&comma; things are less clear cut&period; If they have to select three starters to go behind Bassitt and Manaea they&&num;8217&semi;ll be choosing between four&period; Jesus Luzardo&comma; Frankie Montas&comma; Mike Fiers and Mike Minor&period; Mike Minor is most likely on the outside looking in&period; He hasn&&num;8217&semi;t quite been able to replicate the success he achieved in Texas in on the West Coast&period; At game three&comma; the A&&num;8217&semi;s may be content with Jesus Luzardo who they seem to hold in especially high regard&period; Montas and Fiers offer similar potential in different ways&period; Montas has been striking batters out while Fiers&&num;8217&semi;s strikeout rate is nearly half that of Montas&&num;8217&semi;&period; It&&num;8217&semi;s likely a toss-up&period; And the A&&num;8217&semi;s&comma; like the Astros&comma; will hope they won&&num;8217&semi;t have to choose&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"has-text-align-left has-medium-font-size" style&equals;"font-size&colon;21px"><strong>Game 1&colon;<&sol;strong> Chris Bassitt &lpar;OAK&rpar; vs Lance McCullers Jr&period; &lpar;HOU&rpar; &&num;8211&semi; Monday October 5th &lpar;4&colon;07 pm ET&rpar;<br><strong>Game 2&colon;<&sol;strong> Sean Manaea &lpar;OAK&rpar; vs Framber Valdez &lpar;HOU&rpar; &&num;8211&semi; Tuesday October 6th &lpar;4&colon;37 pm&comma; ET&rpar;<br><strong>Game 3&colon; <&sol;strong>Jesus Luzardo &lpar;OAK&rpar; vs Zack Greinke &lpar;HOU&rpar; &&num;8211&semi; Wednesday October 7th &lpar;3&colon;35 pm&comma; ET&rpar;<br><span class&equals;"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color"><em><strong>Game 4&colon; <&sol;strong>Frankie Montas &lpar;OAK&rpar; vs Jose Urquidy &lpar;HOU&rpar; &&num;8211&semi; Thursday October 8th &lpar;3&colon;35 pm&comma; ET&rpar;<br><strong>Game 5&colon;<&sol;strong> Mike Fiers &lpar;OAK&rpar; vs Cristian Javier &lpar;HOU&rpar; &&num;8211&semi; Friday October 9th &lpar;3&colon;35 pm&comma; ET<&sol;em><&sol;span>&rpar;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<hr class&equals;"wp-block-separator has-text-color has-background has-black-background-color has-black-color is-style-dots"&sol;>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"has-text-align-center has-huge-font-size has-custom-letterspacing" style&equals;"letter-spacing&colon;3px&semi;font-size&colon;40px"><img class&equals;"wp-image-6366" style&equals;"width&colon; 100px" src&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;prospectsworldwide&period;com&sol;wp-content&sol;uploads&sol;2020&sol;08&sol;oakland&lowbar;athletics&period;png" alt&equals;""> <strong>OAKLAND ATHLETICS<&sol;strong> <img class&equals;"wp-image-6366" style&equals;"width&colon; 100px" src&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;prospectsworldwide&period;com&sol;wp-content&sol;uploads&sol;2020&sol;08&sol;oakland&lowbar;athletics&period;png" alt&equals;""><&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"has-medium-font-size">The A&&num;8217&semi;s were able to weather the only three-game Wild Series Series in the American League&period; Despite the White Sox&&num;8217&semi; strong offense&comma; Oakland&&num;8217&semi;s own lineup was able to push enough across the plate to win the final two games of the series&period; It&&num;8217&semi;s the A&&num;8217&semi;s roster construction that makes them so difficult to beat&period; If you asked a group to name an Oakland Athletic everyone would come up with a different answer&period; This team has received contributions from far and wide&period; Especially with MVP Matt Chapman on the IL&comma; they&&num;8217&semi;ll need to continue to receive those types of efforts if they have any interest in advancing further into October&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<figure class&equals;"wp-block-table is-style-stripes"><table><tbody><tr><td><strong>Player<&sol;strong><&sol;td><td class&equals;"has-text-align-center" data-align&equals;"center"><strong>fWAR<&sol;strong><&sol;td><td class&equals;"has-text-align-center" data-align&equals;"center"><strong>Rank &lpar;A&&num;8217&semi;s&rpar; &&num;8211&semi; Pitchers and Position Players Isolated<&sol;strong><&sol;td><td><&sol;td><td><&sol;td><td class&equals;"has-text-align-center" data-align&equals;"center">Ran<strong>k &lpar;MLB&rpar; &&num;8211&semi; Pitchers and Position Players Isolated<&sol;strong><&sol;td><&sol;tr><tr><td>Mark Canha<&sol;td><td class&equals;"has-text-align-center" data-align&equals;"center">1&period;7<&sol;td><td class&equals;"has-text-align-center" data-align&equals;"center">1<&sol;td><td><&sol;td><td><&sol;td><td class&equals;"has-text-align-center" data-align&equals;"center">35<&sol;td><&sol;tr><tr><td>Ramon Laureano <&sol;td><td class&equals;"has-text-align-center" data-align&equals;"center">1&period;3<&sol;td><td class&equals;"has-text-align-center" data-align&equals;"center">2<&sol;td><td><&sol;td><td><&sol;td><td class&equals;"has-text-align-center" data-align&equals;"center">80<&sol;td><&sol;tr><tr><td>Robbie Grossman<&sol;td><td class&equals;"has-text-align-center" data-align&equals;"center">1&period;3<&sol;td><td class&equals;"has-text-align-center" data-align&equals;"center">3<&sol;td><td><&sol;td><td><&sol;td><td class&equals;"has-text-align-center" data-align&equals;"center">82<&sol;td><&sol;tr><tr><td>Liam Hendricks<&sol;td><td class&equals;"has-text-align-center" data-align&equals;"center">1&period;4<&sol;td><td class&equals;"has-text-align-center" data-align&equals;"center">1<&sol;td><td><&sol;td><td><&sol;td><td class&equals;"has-text-align-center" data-align&equals;"center">18<&sol;td><&sol;tr><tr><td>Chris Bassitt<&sol;td><td class&equals;"has-text-align-center" data-align&equals;"center">1&period;3<&sol;td><td class&equals;"has-text-align-center" data-align&equals;"center">2<&sol;td><td><&sol;td><td><&sol;td><td class&equals;"has-text-align-center" data-align&equals;"center">27<&sol;td><&sol;tr><tr><td>Sean Manaea<&sol;td><td class&equals;"has-text-align-center" data-align&equals;"center">1&period;1<&sol;td><td class&equals;"has-text-align-center" data-align&equals;"center">3<&sol;td><td><&sol;td><td><&sol;td><td class&equals;"has-text-align-center" data-align&equals;"center">32 &lpar;If Qualified&rpar;<&sol;td><&sol;tr><&sol;tbody><&sol;table><&sol;figure>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"has-medium-font-size">Especially at the plate&comma; the Athletics don&&num;8217&semi;t rely on a single hitter or core of hitters&period; They hurt you one through nine&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"has-medium-font-size">As effective as it&&num;8217&semi;s been&comma; the A&&num;8217&semi;s strength is certainly their pitching&period; With a dominant bullpen and serviceable starting staff&comma; they rank fourth in MLB in ERA&comma; runs allowed per game&comma; and third in walks per nine&period; They&&num;8217&semi;ve also got one of baseball&&num;8217&semi;s oldest pitching staff with an average age of 29&period;9&comma; which ranks 27th&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<&excl;-- WP QUADS Content Ad Plugin v&period; 2&period;0&period;95 -->&NewLine;<div class&equals;"quads-location quads-ad2" id&equals;"quads-ad2" style&equals;"float&colon;none&semi;margin&colon;0px&semi;">&NewLine;&NewLine;<&sol;div>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"has-medium-font-size">Back to that bullpen&comma; which has the second-fewest blown saves in baseball &lpar;4&rpar;&period; They ranked fifth in WAR and second in WPA&period; The back end combo that is Liam Hendricks&comma; Jake Diekman&comma; Yusmeiro Petit and Joakim Soria has been lockdown for the A&&num;8217&semi;s&period; And their depth has taken the burden off of the starters&period; Much of this series will come down to Oakland&&num;8217&semi;s starters being able to put up a few zeros before handing things onto the bullpen&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"has-large-font-size"><strong>A Summary&colon; Stats to Know&colon;<&sol;strong><&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"has-medium-font-size">&&num;8211&semi; Oakland&&num;8217&semi;s roster&comma; particularly their lineup packs punch throughout&period; Their three most productive hitters according to fWAR lay outside the top 30 in the league ranking yet the team&&num;8217&semi;s hitters rank eighth in aggregate WAR&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"has-medium-font-size">&&num;8211&semi; Despite their age &lpar;average 29&period;9 years&comma; fourth oldest in baseball&rpar;&comma; the Athletics&&num;8217&semi; pitching staff is strong &&num;8211&semi; especially there bullpen&comma; which is second-best in baseball according to WPA&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"has-medium-font-size">&&num;8211&semi; A&&num;8217&semi;s relievers have the third-highest first-pitch strike percentage in baseball &&num;8211&semi; 62&period;8&percnt;&period; Don&&num;8217&semi;t forget that the entire league saw a 32&percnt; decline in OPS after seeing strike one this year&comma; which is nothing unusual&excl;<&sol;p><div class&equals;"XxkPxLFr" style&equals;"clear&colon;both&semi;float&colon;left&semi;width&colon;100&percnt;&semi;margin&colon;0 0 20px 0&semi;"><script async src&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;pagead2&period;googlesyndication&period;com&sol;pagead&sol;js&sol;adsbygoogle&period;js"><&sol;script> &NewLine;<&excl;-- Display Ad --> &NewLine;<ins class&equals;"adsbygoogle" &NewLine; style&equals;"display&colon;block" &NewLine; data-ad-client&equals;"ca-pub-7814068302911952" &NewLine; data-ad-slot&equals;"1407500180" &NewLine; data-ad-format&equals;"auto" &NewLine; data-full-width-responsive&equals;"true"><&sol;ins> &NewLine;<script> &NewLine; &lpar;adsbygoogle &equals; window&period;adsbygoogle &vert;&vert; &lbrack;&rsqb;&rpar;&period;push&lpar;&lbrace;&rcub;&rpar;&semi; &NewLine;<&sol;script><&sol;div>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<hr class&equals;"wp-block-separator has-text-color has-background has-black-background-color has-black-color is-style-dots"&sol;>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"has-text-align-center has-huge-font-size has-custom-lineheight has-custom-letterspacing" style&equals;"line-height&colon;2&period;01&semi;letter-spacing&colon;3px&semi;font-size&colon;40px"><img class&equals;"wp-image-10083" style&equals;"width&colon; 100px" src&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;prospectsworldwide&period;com&sol;wp-content&sol;uploads&sol;2020&sol;09&sol;1200px-houston-astros-logo&period;svg&lowbar;&period;png" alt&equals;""> <strong>HOUSTON ASTROS<&sol;strong> <img class&equals;"wp-image-10083" style&equals;"width&colon; 100px" src&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;prospectsworldwide&period;com&sol;wp-content&sol;uploads&sol;2020&sol;09&sol;1200px-houston-astros-logo&period;svg&lowbar;&period;png" alt&equals;""><&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"has-medium-font-size">The Astros are not the team many may remember from even a year ago&period; Last year&&num;8217&semi;s American League Champions were driven by a historic pitching staff and enough elite relievers to get them through virtually any game&period; Especially when they only needed to use only two or three starters in each series they played&period; Led by free agent to be Gerrit Cole&comma; the Astros were an unstoppable force&period; Justin Verlander and Zack Greinke were able to shut down almost any offense&period; Now&comma; in the wake of Cole&&num;8217&semi;s departure and no Justin Verlander who&&num;8217&semi;s recovering from Tommy John surgery performed just a few weeks ago the Astros face a much more difficult task&period; Their offense plummeted at a historic rate&period; The likes of Jose Altuve&comma; Alex Bregman used to instill fear into both fans and pitchers&&num;8230&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"has-medium-font-size">Not anymore&period; This sub-&period;500 team failed to eclipse a wRC&plus; of 100 after sitting eight points ahead of anyone else just last year&period; Houston&&num;8217&semi;s infamous cheating scandal has certainly impacted the team&period; Even if it&&num;8217&semi;s not evident on the field&comma; this is a struggling team&comma; a shell of what it was last year&period; Whether the degradation in performance is an emotional byproduct of the off-season they suffered or otherwise doesn&&num;8217&semi;t matter&period; If they were playing in a better division&comma; they likely wouldn&&num;8217&semi;t be here today&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"has-medium-font-size">In fact&comma; they definitely wouldn&&num;8217&semi;t be&period; In any other division&comma; the Astros place third at best&period; That doesn&&num;8217&semi;t take into account additional losses that may incur as a result of playing better teams more often&period; The only reason the Astros are here is that they play in the American League West&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"has-medium-font-size">That sounds pretty rough &&num;8211&semi; and it is&period; But this is a team whose offensive production was league average at best&period; They rank 18th in wOBA and ISO&comma; 16th in OPS and 17th in wRC&plus;&period; Now&comma; some teams have similar or worse lineups&period; However&comma; they offer some supplementary pitching&period; And the Astros do deserve some credit for what they&&num;8217&semi;ve done it their rotation&period; It&&num;8217&semi;s a far cry from last year&&num;8217&semi;s three-headed beast&comma; but youngsters Jose Urquidy and Cristian Javier have been bright spots and Lance McCullers Jr&period; has bounced back admirably&period; That&&num;8217&semi;s given Houston a handful of arms they can trust &&num;8211&semi; especially on nights their offense is able to perform the way it&&num;8217&semi;s capable of&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"has-medium-font-size">The bullpen is where the problem lays&period; While most playoff bullpens feature elite strikeout relievers&comma; the Astros&&num;8217&semi; is merely pedestrian with a 9&period;58 K&sol;9&period; Worse yet&comma; their walks per nine was 5&period;03&comma; third-worst in baseball&period; They got outs &&num;8211&semi; but with closer Roberto Osuna on the IL and once serviceable arms Chris Devenski and Brad Peacock no longer reliable&comma; the relief corps is far from what it could and should be&period;<&sol;p><div class&equals;"Asa6QaOh" style&equals;"clear&colon;both&semi;float&colon;left&semi;width&colon;100&percnt;&semi;margin&colon;0 0 20px 0&semi;"><script async src&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;pagead2&period;googlesyndication&period;com&sol;pagead&sol;js&sol;adsbygoogle&period;js"><&sol;script> &NewLine;<ins class&equals;"adsbygoogle" &NewLine; style&equals;"display&colon;block&semi; text-align&colon;center&semi;" &NewLine; data-ad-layout&equals;"in-article" &NewLine; data-ad-format&equals;"fluid" &NewLine; data-ad-client&equals;"ca-pub-7814068302911952" &NewLine; data-ad-slot&equals;"2531094727"><&sol;ins> &NewLine;<script> &NewLine; &lpar;adsbygoogle &equals; window&period;adsbygoogle &vert;&vert; &lbrack;&rsqb;&rpar;&period;push&lpar;&lbrace;&rcub;&rpar;&semi; &NewLine;<&sol;script><&sol;div>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"has-medium-font-size">At the end of the day&comma; still playing in a series where you can&&num;8217&semi;t afford to give away baserunners that bullpen could seriously harm Houston&period; Oakland&&num;8217&semi;s offense&comma; coincidentally&comma; has the third-highest walk rate&period; If you&&num;8217&semi;re an Astros fan&comma; that&&num;8217&semi;s a recipe for disaster&period; If the Astros advance they&&num;8217&semi;ll be doing it on the backs of some strong and lengthy starting pitching as well as an offensive resurgence&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"has-large-font-size"><strong>A Summary&colon; Stats to Know&colon;<&sol;strong><&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"has-medium-font-size">&&num;8211&semi; The American League West is the only division that allows the Astros to make the Postseason&period;<br>&&num;8211&semi; The Astros have done an excellent job at reassembling their rotation after the departures of Gerrit Cole and Wade Miley&period; This season the rotation averaged roughly 5 and one-third innings per start&comma; down less than one out per start from 2019&period;<br>&&num;8211&semi; Houston&&num;8217&semi;s bullpen had the third-highest walks per nine &lpar;5&period;03&rpar; while the A&&num;8217&semi;s offense had the third-highest walk rate in baseball &lpar;10&period;8&percnt;&rpar;&period; The Astros could run into serious trouble if they&&num;8217&semi;re putting runners on before some of the bigger hitters at the top of the lineup&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<hr class&equals;"wp-block-separator has-text-color has-background has-black-background-color has-black-color is-style-dots"&sol;>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"has-huge-font-size" style&equals;"font-size&colon;40px"><strong><span class&equals;"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color">Series X-Factors&colon;<&sol;span><&sol;strong><&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"has-large-font-size"><img class&equals;"wp-image-6366" style&equals;"width&colon; 90px" src&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;prospectsworldwide&period;com&sol;wp-content&sol;uploads&sol;2020&sol;08&sol;oakland&lowbar;athletics&period;png" alt&equals;""> <strong>Athletics&colon; 3B Jake Lamb <&sol;strong><&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"has-medium-font-size">Jake Lamb will be filling in for the guy who should be the most important player on this roster&colon; Matt Chapman&period; Instead&comma; Matt is nursing a hip injury&period; While Lamb&&num;8217&semi;s production thus far has been rather ho-hum&comma; he&&num;8217&semi;s shown signs he can contribute at a much higher level&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"has-medium-font-size"><br>Lamb has had a rough last few years&period; He struggled mightily in Arizona before being traded to Oakland&comma; not just in 2020&comma; but going back to 2018&period; However&comma; since arriving in Oakland&comma; he&&num;8217&semi;s flourished&period; He&&num;8217&semi;s not exactly putting up all-star numbers&comma; but after failing to crack the Mendoza line in 2019 and again this year there&&num;8217&semi;s no question he was thrilled to finish strong&period; He slashed &period;267&sol;&period;327&sol;&period;556 and hit three home runs in 13 games for the A&&num;8217&semi;s&period; That earned him an OPS&plus; of 143&comma; a massive ascension from his OPS&plus; of 6 with Arizona through this first 18 games of the season&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"has-medium-font-size"><br>Consider also&comma; his expected batting average this season&colon; &period;239&period; That goes along with a &period;431 xSLG and &period;314 xwOBA&period; Not terrible&period; He&&num;8217&semi;ll fit right into the A&&num;8217&semi;s postseason plans&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"has-medium-font-size"><br>He may not be the flashy super-star that carries a team on their back&comma; but he doesn&&num;8217&semi;t need to be&period; No one on the Athletics has to be&period; That&&num;8217&semi;s how they&&num;8217&semi;ve gotten here&comma; working together to achieve greatness&period; Now&comma; Jake Lamb has a chance to be a part of that&period; Expect Jake to play some role in this series &&num;8211&semi; even if it seems small&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"has-large-font-size"><img class&equals;"wp-image-10083" style&equals;"width&colon; 90px" src&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;prospectsworldwide&period;com&sol;wp-content&sol;uploads&sol;2020&sol;09&sol;1200px-houston-astros-logo&period;svg&lowbar;&period;png" alt&equals;""> <strong>Astros<&sol;strong>&colon; <strong>1B Yuli Gurriel&colon;<&sol;strong><&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"has-medium-font-size">Yuli Gurriel might be Houston&&num;8217&semi;s best-kept secret&period; And now&comma; days after he signed a contract extension&comma; is the perfect opportunity to prove the Astros right&period; Even at age 36&comma; Gurriel has continued to mash&period; However&comma; this season was a little different&period; Just like nearly all other Astros hitters&comma; Gurriel took a step back&period; He was just unable to collect hits at the same rate he had in the past&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"has-medium-font-size"><br>A deeper look at this profile reveals that Gurriel is still providing value&period; His expected numbers are right on par with what they&&num;8217&semi;ve been in recent years&period; In essence&comma; Gurriel&&num;8217&semi;s been unlucky&period; More so than any other Astros hitter&period; He&&num;8217&semi;s also got the benefit of being one of the league&&num;8217&semi;s least prolific strikeout victims &lpar;top 3&percnt; of the league&rpar;&period; Which means he&&num;8217&semi;ll have even more opportunity to move toward the mean&period; This Postseason could be the perfect opportunity to do that&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"has-medium-font-size"><br>Yuli&&num;8217&semi;s batted ball profile matches what he&&num;8217&semi;s done throughout his career&period; He&&num;8217&semi;s a great player who&&num;8217&semi;s spent this year underachieving&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<hr class&equals;"wp-block-separator has-text-color has-background has-black-background-color has-black-color is-style-dots"&sol;>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"has-text-align-center has-huge-font-size" style&equals;"font-size&colon;35px"><strong><span class&equals;"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color">Something to Watch&colon;<&sol;span><&sol;strong><&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"has-medium-font-size">The thing to watch in this series is pitching management&period; I&&num;8217&semi;ve already discussed both teams&&num;8217&semi; bullpens and it doesn&&num;8217&semi;t take much imagination to draw up scenarios where games are decided entirely by relief pitching&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"has-medium-font-size" style&equals;"font-size&colon;21px">When you&&num;8217&semi;ve got two rotations of similar stature and two bullpens of very different&comma; contrasting stature things can get really interesting really quick&period; I&&num;8217&semi;ve already touched on this&comma; so it&&num;8217&semi;s senseless to expand extensively&comma; but much of the Astros flaws&comma; particularly their tendency to serve batters free passes&comma; plays right into the A&&num;8217&semi;s strengths&period; Oakland is a team that will beat you on their terms&period; Houston&&num;8217&semi;s bullpen hasn&&num;8217&semi;t done a great job at showing they can wrestle that power away from hitters&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"has-medium-font-size" style&equals;"font-size&colon;21px">Expect to see some extensively debated bullpen usage&period; On both sides&period; There will be mistakes that cost games&period; And there will be decisions that win games&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"has-medium-font-size">The thing to watch in this series is pitching management&period; I&&num;8217&semi;ve already discussed both teams&&num;8217&semi; bullpens and it doesn&&num;8217&semi;t take much imagination to draw up scenarios where games are decided entirely by relief pitching&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<hr class&equals;"wp-block-separator has-text-color has-background has-black-background-color has-black-color is-style-dots"&sol;>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<div class&equals;"wp-block-coblocks-accordion" style&equals;"font-size&colon;40px">&NewLine;<div class&equals;"wp-block-coblocks-accordion-item"><&sol;div>&NewLine;<&sol;div>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"has-text-align-center has-medium-font-size" style&equals;"font-size&colon;40px"><strong><span class&equals;"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color">Series Prediction&colon;<&sol;span><&sol;strong><&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"has-medium-font-size">The bullpens in this series are going to be critical&period; If the A&&num;8217&semi;s can put themselves in a position to leverage their strength&comma; their bullpen&comma; they are golden&period; Moreover&comma; the sooner they can force Dusty Baker&&num;8217&semi;s hand and crack into the Astros bullpen&comma; the better&period; Much of this series will likely come down to the bullpens&period; And if that&&num;8217&semi;s the case&comma; the Athletics have a strong advantage&period; I pick them to win this ALDS in four games&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"has-text-align-center has-huge-font-size"><img class&equals;"wp-image-6366" style&equals;"width&colon; 100px&semi;" src&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;prospectsworldwide&period;com&sol;wp-content&sol;uploads&sol;2020&sol;08&sol;oakland&lowbar;athletics&period;png" alt&equals;""><strong>ATHLETICS 3-1<&sol;strong><&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<div class&equals;"align crowdsignal-poll-wrapper" data-crowdsignal-poll&equals;"&lbrace;&quot&semi;pollId&quot&semi;&colon;&quot&semi;69ddb501-6b61-4321-add9-0b9b8e3bb43d&quot&semi;&comma;&quot&semi;question&quot&semi;&colon;&quot&semi;Who do you think wins the series&quest;&quot&semi;&comma;&quot&semi;answers&quot&semi;&colon;&lbrack;&lbrace;&quot&semi;text&quot&semi;&colon;&quot&semi;Athletics&quot&semi;&comma;&quot&semi;answerId&quot&semi;&colon;&quot&semi;926e091d-2262-43d5-ba3f-df12111c624d&quot&semi;&rcub;&comma;&lbrace;&quot&semi;text&quot&semi;&colon;&quot&semi;Astros&quot&semi;&comma;&quot&semi;answerId&quot&semi;&colon;&quot&semi;7b9f88aa-8821-45ad-b7aa-514012de88f8&quot&semi;&rcub;&comma;&lbrack;&rsqb;&rsqb;&comma;&quot&semi;isMultipleChoice&quot&semi;&colon;false&comma;&quot&semi;note&quot&semi;&colon;&quot&semi;&quot&semi;&comma;&quot&semi;submitButtonLabel&quot&semi;&colon;&quot&semi;Submit&quot&semi;&comma;&quot&semi;confirmMessageType&quot&semi;&colon;&quot&semi;results&quot&semi;&comma;&quot&semi;borderWidth&quot&semi;&colon;2&comma;&quot&semi;borderRadius&quot&semi;&colon;0&comma;&quot&semi;hasBoxShadow&quot&semi;&colon;false&comma;&quot&semi;hasOneResponsePerComputer&quot&semi;&colon;false&comma;&quot&semi;randomizeAnswers&quot&semi;&colon;false&comma;&quot&semi;width&quot&semi;&colon;100&comma;&quot&semi;pollStatus&quot&semi;&colon;&quot&semi;open&quot&semi;&comma;&quot&semi;closedPollState&quot&semi;&colon;&quot&semi;show-results&quot&semi;&comma;&quot&semi;hideBranding&quot&semi;&colon;false&comma;&quot&semi;buttonAlignment&quot&semi;&colon;&quot&semi;list&quot&semi;&comma;&quot&semi;advgbBlockControls&quot&semi;&colon;&lbrack;&rsqb;&comma;&quot&semi;apiPollData&quot&semi;&colon;&lbrace;&quot&semi;id&quot&semi;&colon;10620776&comma;&quot&semi;question&quot&semi;&colon;&quot&semi;Who do you think wins the series&quest;&quot&semi;&comma;&quot&semi;note&quot&semi;&colon;&quot&semi;&quot&semi;&comma;&quot&semi;settings&quot&semi;&colon;&lbrace;&quot&semi;title&quot&semi;&colon;&quot&semi;&quot&semi;&comma;&quot&semi;after&lowbar;vote&quot&semi;&colon;&quot&semi;results&quot&semi;&comma;&quot&semi;after&lowbar;message&quot&semi;&colon;&quot&semi;&quot&semi;&comma;&quot&semi;randomize&lowbar;answers&quot&semi;&colon;false&comma;&quot&semi;restrict&lowbar;vote&lowbar;repeat&quot&semi;&colon;false&comma;&quot&semi;captcha&quot&semi;&colon;false&comma;&quot&semi;multiple&lowbar;choice&quot&semi;&colon;false&comma;&quot&semi;redirect&lowbar;url&quot&semi;&colon;&quot&semi;&quot&semi;&comma;&quot&semi;close&lowbar;status&quot&semi;&colon;&quot&semi;open&quot&semi;&comma;&quot&semi;close&lowbar;after&quot&semi;&colon;false&rcub;&comma;&quot&semi;answers&quot&semi;&colon;&lbrack;&lbrace;&quot&semi;answer&lowbar;text&quot&semi;&colon;&quot&semi;Athletics&quot&semi;&comma;&quot&semi;id&quot&semi;&colon;49196812&comma;&quot&semi;client&lowbar;id&quot&semi;&colon;&quot&semi;926e091d-2262-43d5-ba3f-df12111c624d&quot&semi;&rcub;&comma;&lbrace;&quot&semi;answer&lowbar;text&quot&semi;&colon;&quot&semi;Astros&quot&semi;&comma;&quot&semi;id&quot&semi;&colon;49196813&comma;&quot&semi;client&lowbar;id&quot&semi;&colon;&quot&semi;7b9f88aa-8821-45ad-b7aa-514012de88f8&quot&semi;&rcub;&rsqb;&comma;&quot&semi;client&lowbar;id&quot&semi;&colon;&quot&semi;69ddb501-6b61-4321-add9-0b9b8e3bb43d&quot&semi;&rcub;&rcub;"><&sol;div>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"has-text-align-center"><em>All data sourced from fangraphs&period;com&comma; baseball-reference&period;com and baseballsavant&period;mlb&period;com&period;<&sol;em><&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<hr class&equals;"wp-block-separator has-text-color has-background has-black-background-color has-black-color is-style-wide"&sol;>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"has-text-align-center"><strong><a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;prospectsworldwide&period;com&sol;2020&sol;10&sol;04&sol;alds-preview-rays-vs-yankees&sol;" target&equals;"&lowbar;blank" rel&equals;"noreferrer noopener"><span class&equals;"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color">ALDS Preview&colon; Rays vs Yankees<&sol;span><&sol;a><&sol;strong><br><a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;prospectsworldwide&period;com&sol;2020&sol;10&sol;05&sol;nlds-preview-dodgers-vs-padres&sol;" target&equals;"&lowbar;blank" rel&equals;"noreferrer noopener"><strong><span 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